Bayes’s Theory shows that the probability that A will occur if B occurs will generally differ from the probability that B will occur if A occurs. (Mlodinow,
page 117). Complete the following assignment: After reading chapter 6 in The Drunkard’s Walk, re‐read the first paragraph on page 117, then show how “one can
use Bayes’s methods to determine that a positive mammogram is due to cancer in only about 9 per cent of the cases.” Write the solution to the problem with
words (use math and explain it in words), then upload your solution to the appropriate link on Moodle. A complete solution will include a thorough explanation
of the appropriate sample space. This assignment is due as indicated on Moodle.
Sample Solution