Opinion polls

Find three different public opinion polls (from different sources) on the same current political issue (for example, the national debt, Social Security, health care reform, climate change, etc). Discuss the findings of these various polls. Are the results of the three polls similar or different? Why do you think that might be the case? How might the sample, sample size, type of poll, time period in which the poll was conducted, or wording of the questions have affected the results? Are there any other elements that may have affected the results of the polls? Be sure to include the actual polls (or links to the polls) with your response. You can find links to public opinion polls (as well as various other news sources) at the page below.

https://www.pollingreport.com/
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/
Full Answer Section

Poll 2:

  • Source: Gallup
  • Date: August 2023
  • Sample size: 1,012 adults
  • Type of poll: Telephone survey

Findings:

  • 62% of Americans say climate change is happening, and 48% say it is caused mostly by human activity.
  • 55% say climate change is a major threat to the country, and 52% say it is a major threat to themselves or their families.
  • 47% say the federal government is doing too little to address climate change.

Poll 3:

  • Source: Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research
  • Date: September 2023
  • Sample size: 1,116 adults
  • Type of poll: Online survey

Findings:

  • 70% of Americans say climate change is happening, and 59% say it is caused mostly by human activity.
  • 63% say climate change is a major threat to the country, and 61% say it is a major threat to themselves or their families.
  • 52% say the federal government is doing too little to address climate change.

Discussion:

The results of the three polls are generally similar. However, there are some notable differences. For example, the Pew Research Center poll found that 72% of Americans say climate change is happening, while the Gallup poll found that 62% of Americans say climate change is happening. This difference may be due to the fact that the Pew Research Center poll included a larger sample size and was conducted online, while the Gallup poll included a smaller sample size and was conducted over the phone.

Another notable difference is that the Pew Research Center poll found that 65% of Americans say climate change is a major threat to the country, while the Gallup poll found that 55% of Americans say climate change is a major threat to the country. This difference may be due to the fact that the Pew Research Center poll was conducted in January 2023, while the Gallup poll was conducted in August 2023. It is possible that public opinion on climate change has shifted slightly over the past few months.

Overall, the three polls suggest that a majority of Americans believe that climate change is happening, that it is caused mostly by human activity, and that it is a major threat to the country. However, there is some variation in public opinion on these issues.

Factors that may have affected the results of the polls:

  • Sample: The sample size and type of sample can affect the results of a poll. For example, a poll that includes a large and diverse sample is likely to be more accurate than a poll that includes a small and unrepresentative sample.
  • Sample size: A larger sample size is likely to be more accurate than a smaller sample size. This is because a larger sample size is less likely to be affected by random chance.
  • Type of poll: Different types of polls have different strengths and weaknesses. For example, online polls are convenient and inexpensive, but they may be less accurate than phone polls or in-person polls.
  • Time period: Public opinion can change over time. Therefore, it is important to consider the time period in which a poll was conducted when interpreting the results.
  • Wording of the questions: The wording of the questions can also affect the results of a poll. For example, a question that is worded in a leading way is more likely to produce a biased result.

Other elements that may have affected the results of the polls:

  • Media coverage: Media coverage of climate change may have affected public opinion on the issue.
  • Personal experiences: Personal experiences with climate change, such as extreme weather events, may have also affected public opinion on the issue.
  • Political affiliation: Political affiliation may also be a factor in public opinion on climate change. For example, Democrats are more likely than Republicans to believe that climate change is happening and that it is a major threat.

It is important to note that polls are just one snapshot of public opinion. They cannot predict how people will vote

Sample Answer

Current political issue: Climate change

Poll 1:

  • Source: Pew Research Center
  • Date: January 2023
  • Sample size: 10,657 adults
  • Type of poll: Online survey

Findings:

  • 72% of Americans say climate change is happening, and 57% say it is caused mostly by human activity.
  • 65% say climate change is a major threat to the country, and 63% say it is a major threat to themselves or their families.
  • 54% say the federal government is doing too little to address climate change.