Planning and forecasting the financial viability of a new product

 


Planning and forecasting the financial viability of a new product, service, or project is essential for driving business opportunities. Regardless of a company’s key performance indicators (KPIs), senior leaders must evaluate the financial feasibility of new initiatives to ensure they can operate within budget or secure adequate funding for development and implementation. One effective way to accomplish this goal is by creating a pro forma.

A pro forma is a financial projection that estimates anticipated future performance. This forward-looking tool provides a blueprint for financial expectations, enabling stakeholders to make informed business, investment, and operational decisions.

Scenario
After receiving constructive feedback from the project management consultant on your Business Model Canvas (BMC), it’s clear that you need to focus on developing the financial component as you prepare for an upcoming funding pitch to senior leaders. However, one comment from the PM stood out: “No matter how strong the idea is, senior management will consider it a ‘no-go’ if the new product or service doesn’t demonstrate its potential to generate sales.”

As you prepare for your funding pitch in Module Seven, the PM consultant highlights the importance of including a 24-month pro forma. However, the PM cautions that funding pitches are fast-paced and decisive. Providing too much information can overwhelm senior management, prompt unnecessary questions, and ultimately undermine the purpose of your pitch and decrease your chances of approval.

The PM’s directive at this point is for you to develop a 24-month pro forma that demonstrates the potential profitability of the new product or service you're proposing in an income statement. You will use the Module Six Assignment Template linked in the What to Submit section below to complete this assignment.

To project what can be added to the company’s profitability, you can use the company’s latest income statement, which is available in the 10-K report. To support your projections, analyze other companies in the marketplace with similar products or services. Additionally, you can base your projections on the company’s recent year-end financials and key assumptions based on your market analysis. Remember, these numbers are purely speculative.

Based on your projections, you are also required to provide a budget assumptions summary. This summary should outline the key factors, estimates, and rationale used to develop the budget, providing context for the numbers presented and helping senior management understand the reasoning behind the projections and financial decisions.

Specifically, you must address the following rubric criteria:

Previous Fiscal Year: Identify historical information from the previous fiscal year.
24-Month Projections: Speculate projections for 24 months.
Explanation of Assumptions: Explain your ability to speculate appropriate assumptions.
 

Explanation of Speculative Assumptions

 

My ability to speculate appropriate assumptions is based on market analysis principles and typical software-as-a-service (SaaS) industry benchmarks:

S-Curve Adoption Model (Revenue): New products rarely achieve linear sales growth. Year 1 revenue is deliberately low ($1.5M) to reflect the time needed for market education and overcoming inertia (the "trough of sorrow"). Year 2 revenue ($4.8M) shows a significant inflection point, assuming the product has hit critical mass and is benefiting from network effects—a common trajectory for disruptive health tech platforms.

SaaS Cost Structure (COGS/Gross Margin): Software has high fixed costs (initial development) but very low variable costs (hosting). I set the Gross Margin high (>90%) in line with successful SaaS models (where margins often exceed 80%). This structure demonstrates strong unit economics and is highly attractive to senior management seeking high-margin scalability.

Sales and Marketing Intensity (Operating Expenses): I placed the heaviest burden on Marketing in Year 1. A high Customer Acquisition Cost (CAC) is typical for complex B2B sales (selling to clinics), often ranging from 1 to 3 times the annual contract value. This early investment is justified by the expected high Lifetime Value (LTV) of a locked-in subscription customer.

Sample Answer

 

 

 

 

 

 

This task requires developing a 24-month pro forma income statement and a summary of budget assumptions for a hypothetical new product/service. Since I cannot access external 10-K reports or specific company data, I will create a mock organization and use speculative data based on typical growth trends for a successful new initiative in a relevant market, as instructed.

 

Pro Forma Income Statement & Budget Assumptions

 

 

Mock Organization and Product

 

Mock Company: HealthTech Solutions, Inc. (A mid-sized, established medical software firm).

New Product: "AuraHealth," a subscription-based, AI-driven diagnostic support and remote patient monitoring platform designed for primary care clinics.

Revenue Model: Tiered Subscription (SaaS model).