Would you invest in Tesla?
The subject of the Case Study is: “Would you invest in Tesla (Yes / No) and why?”.
- Business Model
a. Please describe Tesla’s business model today.
i. What are the key drivers for Tesla’s unit economics?
b. Please discuss Tesla’s competition today.
i. How has competition changed from 5 years ago?
c. Please discuss similarities and differences between Tesla & ICE automakers in terms of their business model
i. How does supply chain differ? How does sales channel differ (direct vs indirect)? - Financials
a. Please discuss the latest quarterly results reported by Tesla (Q1 2023)
i. What are the key metrics for evaluating Tesla’s near-term performance? What about for the long-term?
b. How did the stock price react to the results?
i. What are the common drivers that move stock price up post earnings release? What about drivers that move stock price down?
c. Looking at historical financials, which years’ financial results represented a catalyst for Tesla investors and why?
i. What’s the next milestone to watch that could further uplift Tesla’s value? - Thesis
a. Tesla share price had gone up 8x in the past 5 years. Why?
i. Tesla share price rose almost 5x in 2013 alone and stayed relatively flat until 2020. What caused the stock movements in 2013 and 2020 respectively?
b. Should QIA buy or sell Tesla today?
i. Describe the methodologies you used to value Tesla stock.
ii. If QIA is restricted to trade Tesla, what are other ways to acquire exposures on your thesis?
c. How does mass adoption of autonomous driving change your view on Tesla’s valuation?
i. How does autonomous driving change Tesla’s business model?
ii. How does autonomous driving change Tesla’s competition?
iii. What needs to happen for autonomous driving to get mass adopted? - Risks
a. What are the key financial risks for QIA to buy Tesla today and hold it for 1 year?
i. How does the key risks change if QIA is to hold it for 10 years?
ii. What risks would QIA have taken if QIA bought Tesla in 2013, and in 2018 respectively?
b. What non-financial risks would QIA be taking if QIA is to buy Tesla today?
i. How ESG compliant is Tesla?
c. What are the top business risks for Tesla, from the management’s perspective?
i. In which areas do Tesla’s CEO and Tesla shareholders have conflicts of interest?
Sample Solution
a. The average rating for all CBC movies is 7.2, ABN movies is 8.3, and BBS movies is 6.3 (see bar chart below). b. Descriptive Statistics for Ratings of Networks: CBC | ABN | BBS Mean: 7.2 | 8.3 | 6.3 Median: 7 | 8 | 6 Mode: 7| 9| 5 Standard Deviation: 1.862 | 0.908| 1.544 c. From the descriptive statistics, we can see that the mean ratings for all three networks are fairly close in value, with the highest being ABN’s mean rating at 8.3 and the lowest being BBS’ mean rating at 6.3; however, looking further into metrics such as standard deviation and mode show that CBC’s ratings have a higher degree of variability compared to the other two networks (1.86 vs 0-0 .908 and 1-544 respectively). This could indicate that while CBC’s movies may be more hit or miss in terms of quality than either ABN’s or BBS’, they also have more potential to become big hits if done right – something which would benefit both audiences and investors alike as it could lead to greater returns on investments in these films..>
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