A job-training program

The goal of this discussion is to recognize that an observed association between two variables need not be due to a cause-and-effect relationship between the two variables.

A job-training program is being reviewed. Advocates claim that because the unemployment rate in the manufacturing region the program took place in was 9% when the program began and 5% four years later, the program was effective.

In your initial replies, please do the following:

Provide one suggestion for what other factor might explain this outcome even if the program had no effect.
Explain why it may have led to this outcome.

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